Live Play Data

Dogged Detective

· Creature — Human Rogue · Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

194

Decks Running

Median Cast Turn

7.0

Drawn → Played

62%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=28

14%

64%

T6-9

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 4 · P75 8 · max 9

On curve 14% (4 / 28 cast on T2)

The "good card" funnel

194 brought · 81 players

Brought to game

194

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 43% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -21.6pp

Players who cast this card win 21% of the time (n=27) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=119).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=21).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap -5.8pp; 95% confidence interval -21.6pp to +10.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

58 instances

20.7%

Battlefield

55.2%

Graveyard

8.6%

Exile

15.5%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Mirko, Obsessive Theorist 29 decks
2 Anhelo, the Painter 10 decks
3 The Infamous Cruelclaw 4 decks
4 Asmoranomardicadaistinaculdacar 2 decks
5 Braids, Arisen Nightmare 2 decks
6 Mari, the Killing Quill 2 decks
7 Marvo, Deep Operative 2 decks
8 Sefris of the Hidden Ways 2 decks
9 The Falcon, Airship Restored 2 decks
10 Ashnod, Flesh Mechanist 1 decks

Card text

Dogged Detective

Creature — Human Rogue

When this creature enters, surveil 2. (Look at the top two cards of your library, then put any number of them into your graveyard and the rest on top of your library in any order.) Whenever an opponent draws their second card each turn, you may return this card from your graveyard to your hand.

2 / 1

Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC) · Rare · Illustrated by Caroline Gariba

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.