Live Play Data

Elvish Mystic

· Creature — Elf Druid · The Hobbit Eternal (HOC)

16%

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

4121

Decks Running

2054

Median Cast Turn

3.0

Drawn → Played

77%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=836

34%

11%

25%

T6-9

T10+

Median 3.0 P25 1 · P75 6 · max 16

On curve 34% (285 / 836 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 74%

The "good card" funnel

4124 brought · 1493 players

Brought to game

4124

Ever drawn

1082

Reached battlefield

836

Still on board at game end

462

Once cast, 55% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +0.8pp

Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=755) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=2505).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 38% (n=216).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +4.1pp; 95% confidence interval +0.8pp to +7.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

1161 instances

2.2%

Library

39.8%

Battlefield

36.8%

Graveyard

6.5%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Elvish Mystic

Creature — Elf Druid

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The Hobbit Eternal (HOC) · Common · Illustrated by Iga Oliwiak

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 680,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.