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Erebos, Bleak-Hearted card art
Live Play Data

Erebos, Bleak-Hearted

{3} {B} · Legendary Enchantment Creature — God · Commander Masters (CMM)
1%
Live Inclusion
Times Brought
230
Decks Running
105
Median Cast Turn
6.0
Drawn → Played
64%
Format

First-cast turn

n=36
0%
T1
3%
T2
6%
T3
19%
T4
17%
T5
47%
T6-9
8%
T10+
Median 6.0 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 13
On curve 28% (7 / 36 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 26%

The "good card" funnel

230 brought · 96 players
Brought to game
230
Ever drawn
55
Reached battlefield
35
Still on board at game end
27

Once cast, 77% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -4.8pp

Players who cast this card win 42% of the time (n=33) , vs 30% when it never left the library (n=156).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 32% (n=19).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +12.1pp; 95% confidence interval -4.8pp to +29.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

57 instances
5.3%
Library
47.4%
Battlefield
17.5%
Graveyard
8.8%
Exile
Card text
Erebos, Bleak-Hearted card

Erebos, Bleak-Hearted

{3} {B}
Legendary Enchantment Creature — God
Indestructible As long as your devotion to black is less than five, Erebos isn't a creature. Whenever another creature you control dies, you may pay 2 life. If you do, draw a card. {1}{B}, Sacrifice another creature: Target creature gets -2/-1 until end of turn.
5 / 6
Commander Masters (CMM) · Mythic · Illustrated by Chase Stone

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 700,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.