Live Play Data

Esper Sentinel

· Artifact Creature — Human Soldier · Modern Horizons 2 (MH2)

17%

Live Inclusion

Buy on TCGplayer

Times Brought

7528

Decks Running

3258

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

83%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=1639

30%

10%

26%

T6-9

T10+

Median 4 P25 1 · P75 6 · max 25

On curve 30% (491 / 1639 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 74%

The "good card" funnel

7531 brought · 1888 players

Brought to game

7531

Ever drawn

1986

Reached battlefield

1639

Still on board at game end

730

Once cast, 45% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +3.0pp

Players who cast this card win 33% of the time (n=1480) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=4653).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 31% (n=320).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +5.6pp; 95% confidence interval +3.0pp to +8.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

2158 instances

2.9%

Library

33.8%

Battlefield

39.7%

Graveyard

10.0%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Y'shtola, Night's Blessed 92 decks
2 Toph, the First Metalbender 65 decks
3 Ms. Bumbleflower 57 decks
4 Giada, Font of Hope 55 decks
5 Kaalia of the Vast 54 decks
6 Cloud, Ex-SOLDIER 46 decks
7 Oloro, Ageless Ascetic 45 decks
8 Anti-Venom, Horrifying Healer 42 decks
9 Jin Sakai, Ghost of Tsushima 42 decks
10 Marneus Calgar 41 decks

Card text

Esper Sentinel

Artifact Creature — Human Soldier

Whenever an opponent casts their first noncreature spell each turn, draw a card unless that player pays {X}

, where X is this creature's power.

1 / 1

Modern Horizons 2 (MH2) · Rare · Illustrated by Eric Deschamps

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 710,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.