Live Play Data

Esper Sentinel

· Artifact Creature — Human Soldier · Modern Horizons 2 (MH2)

17%

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

10779

Decks Running

4313

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

83%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=2413

31%

10%

26%

T6-9

T10+

Median 4 P25 1 · P75 6 · max 25

On curve 31% (747 / 2413 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 75%

The "good card" funnel

10790 brought · 2409 players

Brought to game

10790

Ever drawn

2913

Reached battlefield

2413

Still on board at game end

1095

Once cast, 45% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +4.9pp

Players who cast this card win 35% of the time (n=2179) , vs 28% when it never left the library (n=6606).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 32% (n=455).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +7.0pp; 95% confidence interval +4.9pp to +9.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

3167 instances

2.7%

Library

34.6%

Battlefield

38.9%

Graveyard

10.1%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Y'shtola, Night's Blessed 117 decks
2 Toph, the First Metalbender 85 decks
3 Giada, Font of Hope 78 decks
4 Kaalia of the Vast 73 decks
5 Ms. Bumbleflower 69 decks
6 Cloud, Ex-SOLDIER 65 decks
7 Jin Sakai, Ghost of Tsushima 59 decks
8 Anti-Venom, Horrifying Healer 58 decks
9 Grand Arbiter Augustin IV 55 decks
10 Oloro, Ageless Ascetic 51 decks

Card text

Esper Sentinel

Artifact Creature — Human Soldier

Whenever an opponent casts their first noncreature spell each turn, draw a card unless that player pays {X}

, where X is this creature's power.

1 / 1

Modern Horizons 2 (MH2) · Rare · Illustrated by Eric Deschamps

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 740,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.