Live Play Data

Esper Sentinel

· Artifact Creature — Human Soldier · Modern Horizons 2 (MH2)

17%

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

4500

Decks Running

2070

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

82%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=921

27%

10%

29%

T6-9

T10+

Median 4 P25 1 · P75 6 · max 19

On curve 27% (252 / 921 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 73%

The "good card" funnel

4503 brought · 1277 players

Brought to game

4503

Ever drawn

1127

Reached battlefield

921

Still on board at game end

422

Once cast, 46% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +1.4pp

Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=835) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=2800).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 30% (n=188).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +4.7pp; 95% confidence interval +1.4pp to +8.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

1243 instances

2.3%

Library

34.0%

Battlefield

39.2%

Graveyard

9.5%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Y'shtola, Night's Blessed 59 decks
2 Toph, the First Metalbender 45 decks
3 Giada, Font of Hope 43 decks
4 Ms. Bumbleflower 39 decks
5 Cloud, Ex-SOLDIER 32 decks
6 Kaalia of the Vast 32 decks
7 Jin Sakai, Ghost of Tsushima 30 decks
8 Oloro, Ageless Ascetic 29 decks
9 Marneus Calgar 28 decks
10 Anti-Venom, Horrifying Healer 26 decks

Card text

Esper Sentinel

Artifact Creature — Human Soldier

Whenever an opponent casts their first noncreature spell each turn, draw a card unless that player pays {X}

, where X is this creature's power.

1 / 1

Modern Horizons 2 (MH2) · Rare · Illustrated by Eric Deschamps

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 680,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.