collections_bookmark Part of Modern Horizons 3
Evolution Witness card art
Live Play Data

Evolution Witness

{2} {G} · Creature — Elf Shaman Mutant · Modern Horizons 3 (MH3)
3%
Live Inclusion
Times Brought
970
Decks Running
458
Median Cast Turn
6
Drawn → Played
63%
Format

First-cast turn

n=149
1%
T1
4%
T2
11%
T3
10%
T4
17%
T5
49%
T6-9
7%
T10+
Median 6 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 13
On curve 17% (17 / 149 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 30%

The "good card" funnel

970 brought · 408 players
Brought to game
970
Ever drawn
235
Reached battlefield
149
Still on board at game end
82

Once cast, 55% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +3.2pp

Players who cast this card win 34% of the time (n=144) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=629).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 21% (n=80).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +11.0pp; 95% confidence interval +3.2pp to +18.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

264 instances
3.8%
Library
31.1%
Battlefield
31.1%
Graveyard
5.7%
Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games
Card text
Evolution Witness card

Evolution Witness

{2} {G}
Creature — Elf Shaman Mutant
{1}{G}: Adapt 2. (If this creature has no +1/+1 counters on it, put two +1/+1 counters on it.) Whenever one or more +1/+1 counters are put on this creature, return target permanent card from your graveyard to your hand.
2 / 1
Modern Horizons 3 (MH3) · Common · Illustrated by Nereida

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.