Live Play Data

Expansion // Explosion

· Instant // Instant · Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

101

Decks Running

Median Cast Turn

—

Drawn → Played

71%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=17

Not enough observed casts yet to show a reliable distribution.

The "good card" funnel

102 brought · 45 players

Brought to game

102

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -1.6pp

Players who cast this card win 45% of the time (n=16) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=68).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +21.5pp; 95% confidence interval -1.6pp to +44.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

29 instances

6.9%

Battlefield

58.6%

Graveyard

10.3%

Exile

20.7%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Shiko and Narset, Unified 14 decks
2 Kykar, Wind's Fury 3 decks
3 Esika, God of the Tree // The Prismatic Bridge 2 decks
4 Kalamax, the Stormsire 2 decks
5 Magnus the Red 2 decks
6 Mizzix of the Izmagnus 2 decks
7 Vivi Ornitier 2 decks
8 Animar, Soul of Elements 1 decks
9 Ant-Man, Elusive Avenger 1 decks
10 Bria, Riptide Rogue 1 decks

Card text

Expansion

Instant

Copy target instant or sorcery spell with mana value 4 or less. You may choose new targets for the copy.

Explosion

Instant

Explosion deals X damage to any target. Target player draws X cards.

Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC) · Rare · Illustrated by Deruchenko Alexander

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 670,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.