Live Play Data

Expansion // Explosion

· Instant // Instant · Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC)

Live Inclusion

Buy on TCGplayer

Times Brought

418

Decks Running

181

Median Cast Turn

8.0

Drawn → Played

54%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=64

14%

58%

T6-9

28%

T10+

Median 8.0 P25 7 · P75 10 · max 16

Cast same turn as drawn 27%

The "good card" funnel

422 brought · 176 players

Brought to game

422

Ever drawn

118

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ +8.8pp

Players who cast this card win 43% of the time (n=59) , vs 21% when it never left the library (n=245).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 22% (n=44).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +21.4pp; 95% confidence interval +8.8pp to +34.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

131 instances

3.8%

Library

9.2%

Battlefield

49.6%

Graveyard

8.4%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Expansion

Instant

Copy target instant or sorcery spell with mana value 4 or less. You may choose new targets for the copy.

Explosion

Instant

Explosion deals X damage to any target. Target player draws X cards.

Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC) · Rare · Illustrated by Deruchenko Alexander

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.