Exsanguinate
41% of games where Exsanguinate resolved ended in a win for the caster, a +17.0 percentage-point lift over the 24% baseline when the card never left the library.
Exsanguinate is a late-game X-spell finisher that scales with the mana its controller can assemble. Across 1539 tracked multiplayer Commander games on Playgroup Live, it resolves in 41% of the games where it hits the stack, a meaningful gap above the 24% win rate seen when it never gets involved in the game.
The card sits in 9% of tracked decks, a focused niche rather than a format staple. It is spread across 697 distinct players, with no single contributor accounting for more than a small fraction of observations. That breadth makes the signal more reliable than a heavily concentrated dataset. Median first cast lands on turn 8.0, consistent with the mana investment required to make X large enough to close a game.
Exsanguinate is legal in Commander with no restrictions. Its color identity is mono-black, which limits it to decks that can support {B}{B} in their mana base. The top commanders running it lean into life-gain synergies, mana-doubling effects, and X-spell payoffs, all themes that make a large Exsanguinate more lethal or more rewarding.
- 9% of tracked Commander decks include Exsanguinate
- 41% win rate in games where Exsanguinate resolved
- T8.0 median first-cast turn, reflecting the mana needed for a meaningful X
- 56% of drawn copies reached the stack before the game ended
- +17.0pp win-rate lift when cast versus when it never leaves the library
- 697 distinct players have brought this card to a tracked game
First-cast turn
n=216The "good card" funnel
1648 brought · 697 playersOf 1648 Exsanguinates brought to tracked games, 389 were drawn, 216 of those reached the stack, and the large majority ended the game in the graveyard after resolving rather than being countered or exiled.
Players who cast this card win 41% of the time (n=204) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=1058).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 16% (n=158) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +17.0pp; 95% confidence interval +10.3pp to +23.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
Final zone distribution
429 instancesMost Exsanguinate copies that finish in the graveyard got there by resolving as intended. The library bucket is small relative to total instances brought, meaning the card sees more active use than a typical singleton that spends the whole game buried in a 100-card deck.
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Y'shtola, Night's Blessed
153 decks
-
2
Witherbloom, the Balancer
47 decks
-
3
Zaxara, the Exemplary
28 decks
-
4
Smaug the Impenetrable
22 decks
-
5
Silverquill, the Disputant
20 decks
-
6
Oloro, Ageless Ascetic
17 decks
-
7
Edgar Markov
16 decks
-
8
K'rrik, Son of Yawgmoth
16 decks
-
9
Valgavoth, Harrower of Souls
15 decks
-
10
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
12 decks
The commander distribution is spread across life-gain payoffs, X-spell synergies, and mana-doubling strategies, with Y'shtola, Night's Blessed holding the top spot by a clear margin over the rest of the list.