Forerunner of the Coalition card art
Live Play Data

Forerunner of the Coalition

{2} {B} · Creature — Human Pirate · Rivals of Ixalan (RIX)
0%
Live Inclusion
Times Brought
185
Decks Running
84
Median Cast Turn
5.0
Drawn → Played
56%
Format

First-cast turn

n=20
5%
T1
5%
T2
15%
T3
10%
T4
25%
T5
40%
T6-9
0%
T10+
Median 5.0 P25 4 · P75 7 · max 9
On curve 25% (3 / 20 cast on T3)

The "good card" funnel

185 brought · 79 players
Brought to game
185
Ever drawn
36
Reached battlefield
20
Still on board at game end
4

Once cast, 20% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -13.6pp

Players who cast this card win 25% of the time (n=20) , vs 20% when it never left the library (n=129).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +5.0pp; 95% confidence interval -13.6pp to +23.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

44 instances
6.8%
Library
9.1%
Battlefield
47.7%
Graveyard
13.6%
Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games
Card text
Forerunner of the Coalition card

Forerunner of the Coalition

{2} {B}
Creature — Human Pirate
When this creature enters, you may search your library for a Pirate card, reveal it, then shuffle and put that card on top. Whenever another Pirate you control enters, each opponent loses 1 life.
2 / 2
Rivals of Ixalan (RIX) · Uncommon · Illustrated by James Ryman

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.