Live Play Data

Fortune, Loyal Steed

· Legendary Creature — Beast Mount · Outlaws of Thunder Junction (OTJ)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

147

Decks Running

Median Cast Turn

5.0

Drawn → Played

66%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=24

17%

13%

38%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5.0 P25 3 · P75 7 · max 11

On curve 29% (4 / 24 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 33%

The "good card" funnel

147 brought · 49 players

Brought to game

147

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 43% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -26.4pp

Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=22) , vs 32% when it never left the library (n=94).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap -6.0pp; 95% confidence interval -26.4pp to +14.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

38 instances

7.9%

Library

26.3%

Battlefield

31.6%

Graveyard

7.9%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Fortune, Loyal Steed

Legendary Creature — Beast Mount

When Fortune enters, scry 2. Whenever Fortune attacks while saddled, at end of combat, exile it and up to one creature that saddled it this turn, then return those cards to the battlefield under their owner's control. Saddle 1

2 / 4

Outlaws of Thunder Junction (OTJ) · Rare · Illustrated by Artur Nakhodkin

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.