Live Play Data

Gideon's Sacrifice

· Instant · Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

301

Decks Running

130

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

53%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=37

57%

T6-9

30%

T10+

Median 8 P25 7 · P75 10 · max 20

On curve 3% (1 / 37 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 19%

The "good card" funnel

301 brought · 124 players

Brought to game

301

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -6.6pp

Players who cast this card win 36% of the time (n=34) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=195).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 39% (n=31).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +10.4pp; 95% confidence interval -6.6pp to +27.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

78 instances

2.6%

Library

11.5%

Battlefield

46.2%

Graveyard

2.6%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Anti-Venom, Horrifying Healer 59 decks
2 Nelly Borca, Impulsive Accuser 17 decks
3 The Second Doctor 10 decks
4 Wayta, Trainer Prodigy 7 decks
5 Jared Carthalion, True Heir 3 decks
6 The Sentry, Golden Guardian 3 decks
7 Extus, Oriq Overlord // Awaken the Blood Avatar 2 decks
8 Abigale, Eloquent First-Year 1 decks
9 Ajani, Nacatl Pariah // Ajani, Nacatl Avenger 1 decks
10 Amalia Benavides Aguirre 1 decks

Card text

Gideon's Sacrifice

Instant

Choose a creature or planeswalker you control. All damage that would be dealt this turn to you and permanents you control is dealt to the chosen permanent instead (if it's still on the battlefield).

Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC) · Common · Illustrated by Chris Rallis

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.