Live Play Data

Gideon's Sacrifice

· Instant · Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

592

Decks Running

232

Median Cast Turn

8.0

Drawn → Played

54%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=64

63%

T6-9

27%

T10+

Median 8.0 P25 7 · P75 10 · max 20

On curve 2% (1 / 64 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 15%

The "good card" funnel

592 brought · 217 players

Brought to game

592

Ever drawn

119

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -9.5pp

Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=58) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=406).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 38% (n=51).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +2.4pp; 95% confidence interval -9.5pp to +14.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

130 instances

4.6%

Library

12.3%

Battlefield

40.0%

Graveyard

5.4%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Anti-Venom, Horrifying Healer 96 decks
2 Nelly Borca, Impulsive Accuser 32 decks
3 Wayta, Trainer Prodigy 15 decks
4 The Second Doctor 13 decks
5 Jared Carthalion, True Heir 9 decks
6 Extus, Oriq Overlord // Awaken the Blood Avatar 5 decks
7 Tam, the Possibility 4 decks
8 Ruhan of the Fomori 3 decks
9 The Sentry, Golden Guardian 3 decks
10 Caesar, Legion's Emperor 2 decks

Card text

Gideon's Sacrifice

Instant

Choose a creature or planeswalker you control. All damage that would be dealt this turn to you and permanents you control is dealt to the chosen permanent instead (if it's still on the battlefield).

Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC) · Common · Illustrated by Chris Rallis

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.