Live Play Data

Goblin Negotiation

· Sorcery · Foundations (FDN)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

272

Decks Running

144

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

63%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=33

64%

T6-9

18%

T10+

Median 7 P25 6 · P75 9 · max 12

Cast same turn as drawn 21%

The "good card" funnel

272 brought · 139 players

Brought to game

272

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -18.6pp

Players who cast this card win 20% of the time (n=30) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=174).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 15% (n=18).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap -4.1pp; 95% confidence interval -18.6pp to +10.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

55 instances

1.8%

Library

5.5%

Battlefield

60.0%

Graveyard

3.6%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Krenko, Mob Boss 55 decks
2 Zada, Hedron Grinder 46 decks
3 Arabella, Abandoned Doll 5 decks
4 Grub, Storied Matriarch // Grub, Notorious Auntie 5 decks
5 The Great Goblin 4 decks
6 Aurelia, the Warleader 2 decks
7 General Kreat, the Boltbringer 2 decks
8 Jinnie Fay, Jetmir's Second 2 decks
9 Saruman, the White Hand 2 decks
10 Torbran, Thane of Red Fell 2 decks

Card text

Goblin Negotiation

Sorcery

Goblin Negotiation deals X damage to target creature. Create a number of 1/1 red Goblin creature tokens equal to the amount of excess damage dealt to that creature this way.

Foundations (FDN) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Svetlin Velinov

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 700,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.