Goblin Welder
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Goblin Welder
Final zone distribution
94 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Krenko, Mob Boss
40 decks
-
2
Tony Stark // The Invincible Iron Man
18 decks
-
3
Breya, Etherium Shaper
9 decks
-
4
Daretti, Scrap Savant
9 decks
-
5
Norin the Wary
9 decks
-
6
Iron Man, Titan of Innovation
6 decks
-
7
Megatron, Tyrant // Megatron, Destructive Force
6 decks
-
8
Toph, the First Metalbender
6 decks
-
9
Jan Jansen, Chaos Crafter
5 decks
-
10
Magda, Brazen Outlaw
5 decks
The "good card" funnel
404 brought · 217 playersOnce cast, 65% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 23% of the time (n=41) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=213).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 25% (n=21).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap -2.4pp; 95% confidence interval -10.8pp to +6.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.