Live Play Data

Gold-Forged Thopteryx

· Artifact Creature — Dinosaur Thopter · March of the Machine: The Aftermath (MAT)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

156

Decks Running

Median Cast Turn

4.5

Drawn → Played

77%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=34

21%

15%

18%

26%

T6-9

T10+

Median 4.5 P25 2 · P75 7 · max 10

On curve 26% (7 / 34 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 42%

The "good card" funnel

156 brought · 77 players

Brought to game

156

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 56% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -0.7pp

Players who cast this card win 39% of the time (n=32) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=98).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +15.5pp; 95% confidence interval -0.7pp to +31.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

47 instances

8.5%

Library

40.4%

Battlefield

38.3%

Graveyard

12.8%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Hope Estheim 14 decks
2 Mendicant Core, Guidelight 7 decks
3 Infinite Guideline Station 6 decks
4 Commodore Guff 5 decks
5 Aragorn, the Uniter 4 decks
6 Grand Arbiter Augustin IV 4 decks
7 Arna Kennerüd, Skycaptain 2 decks
8 Jodah, the Unifier 2 decks
9 Niv-Mizzet, Guildpact 2 decks
10 Optimus Prime, Hero // Optimus Prime, Autobot Leader 2 decks

Card text

Gold-Forged Thopteryx

Artifact Creature — Dinosaur Thopter

Flying, lifelink Each legendary permanent you control has ward {2}

. (Whenever it becomes the target of a spell or ability an opponent controls, counter it unless that player pays {2}

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March of the Machine: The Aftermath (MAT) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Titus Lunter

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 680,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.