Live Play Data

Gold-Forged Thopteryx

· Artifact Creature — Dinosaur Thopter · March of the Machine: The Aftermath (MAT)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

327

Decks Running

164

Median Cast Turn

5.0

Drawn → Played

76%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=74

16%

15%

19%

28%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5.0 P25 3 · P75 7 · max 14

On curve 23% (12 / 74 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 43%

The "good card" funnel

327 brought · 159 players

Brought to game

327

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 50% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -1.5pp

Players who cast this card win 32% of the time (n=72) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=197).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 29% (n=21).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +10.0pp; 95% confidence interval -1.5pp to +21.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

105 instances

6.7%

Library

35.2%

Battlefield

36.2%

Graveyard

5.7%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Hope Estheim 28 decks
2 Mendicant Core, Guidelight 11 decks
3 Optimus Prime, Hero // Optimus Prime, Autobot Leader 11 decks
4 Infinite Guideline Station 10 decks
5 Grand Arbiter Augustin IV 8 decks
6 Aragorn, the Uniter 6 decks
7 Commodore Guff 6 decks
8 Will, Scion of Peace 6 decks
9 Whtz, the Bibliophile 5 decks
10 Jodah, the Unifier 4 decks

Card text

Gold-Forged Thopteryx

Artifact Creature — Dinosaur Thopter

Flying, lifelink Each legendary permanent you control has ward {2}

. (Whenever it becomes the target of a spell or ability an opponent controls, counter it unless that player pays {2}

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March of the Machine: The Aftermath (MAT) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Titus Lunter

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 710,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.