Goldspan Dragon
70% of drawn Goldspan Dragons are cast before the game ends, and decks that resolve it win 33% of the time across 190 tracked participations.
Goldspan Dragon lands in 7% of the 8762 Commander decks tracked on Playgroup Live. Across 1170 multiplayer games, it has been cast 206 times with a median first-cast turn of 6.0. That late-game timing reflects its 5-mana cost and the ramp it often demands.
The draw-to-play rate of 70% is strong for a 5-drop. When Goldspan Dragon hits a player's hand, it makes it to the battlefield the large majority of the time. The median copy sits in hand for 2 turns before being cast, and only 35% of drawn copies are played the same turn they are drawn. That patience makes sense: players tend to hold it until they can protect it or until an attack is immediately profitable.
The data is well-spread across 529 distinct players, with the single heaviest contributor accounting for just 2% of all tracked instances. That breadth gives the numbers here more signal than a one-player skew would. Red dragon synergy commanders dominate the top-commander list, but Goldspan also appears across Treasure-matters and copy-spell shells, reflecting the versatility of its attack trigger and doubled Treasure ability.
- 7% of tracked Commander decks include Goldspan Dragon
- 70% of drawn copies reach the battlefield before the game ends
- T6.0 median first-cast turn across all tracked games
- 33% win rate in games where Goldspan Dragon resolved
- 57% battlefield stickiness once the Dragon hits play
- 529 distinct players have brought Goldspan Dragon to a tracked game
First-cast turn
n=206The "good card" funnel
1242 brought · 529 playersOf 1242 Goldspan Dragons brought to games, 294 were drawn, 206 of those were cast, and 57% of resolved copies survived to end of game.
Players who cast this card win 33% of the time (n=190) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=806).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 15% (n=80) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +6.0pp; 95% confidence interval -0.7pp to +12.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
Final zone distribution
315 instancesMost Goldspan Dragons end games on the battlefield or graveyard rather than stranded in the library, a sign that the card sees active play rather than sitting undrawn in most participations.
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
The Ur-Dragon
66 decks
-
2
Rootha, Mastering the Moment
55 decks
-
3
Mr. House, President and CEO
43 decks
-
4
Smaug the Impenetrable
27 decks
-
5
Ureni of the Unwritten
21 decks
-
6
Miirym, Sentinel Wyrm
20 decks
-
7
Sonic the Hedgehog
20 decks
-
8
Smaug the Magnificent
15 decks
-
9
Jaws, Relentless Predator
14 decks
-
10
Satya, Aetherflux Genius
14 decks
Dragon tribal leads the count with The Ur-Dragon, but Rootha and Mr. House show that Goldspan Dragon earns slots in copy-spell and Treasure-matters shells well beyond pure dragon decks.