Live Play Data

Grim Affliction

· Instant · Modern Masters 2015 (MM2)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

195

Decks Running

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

51%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=21

10%

14%

71%

T6-9

T10+

Median 7 P25 6 · P75 8 · max 12

On curve 10% (2 / 21 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 29%

The "good card" funnel

195 brought · 87 players

Brought to game

195

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -8.1pp

Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=20) , vs 21% when it never left the library (n=133).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 20% (n=20).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +10.4pp; 95% confidence interval -8.1pp to +28.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

49 instances

2.0%

Library

4.1%

Battlefield

57.1%

Graveyard

4.1%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Grim Affliction

Instant

Put a -1/-1 counter on target creature, then proliferate. (Choose any number of permanents and/or players, then give each another counter of each kind already there.)

Modern Masters 2015 (MM2) · Common · Illustrated by Erica Yang

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 700,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.