Live Play Data

Havoc Eater

· Creature — Elemental · Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

234

Decks Running

111

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

60%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=29

14%

59%

T6-9

14%

T10+

Median 6 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 11

On curve 69% (4 / 29 cast on T7) Cast same turn as drawn 26%

The "good card" funnel

234 brought · 107 players

Brought to game

234

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 38% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -0.4pp

Players who cast this card win 41% of the time (n=28) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=153).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 38% (n=18).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +18.9pp; 95% confidence interval -0.4pp to +38.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

56 instances

5.4%

Library

19.6%

Battlefield

37.5%

Graveyard

12.5%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Nelly Borca, Impulsive Accuser 31 decks
2 Terra, Herald of Hope 22 decks
3 Ashling, the Limitless 12 decks
4 Tannuk, Steadfast Second 7 decks
5 Arthur, Marigold Knight 3 decks
6 Mass of Mysteries 3 decks
7 Calamity, Galloping Inferno 2 decks
8 Feldon of the Third Path 2 decks
9 Firkraag, Cunning Instigator 2 decks
10 Gavi, Nest Warden 2 decks

Card text

Havoc Eater

Creature — Elemental

Flying When this creature enters, for each opponent, goad up to one target creature that opponent controls. Put X +1/+1 counters on this creature, where X is the total power of creatures goaded this way.

3 / 3

Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC) · Rare · Illustrated by David Szabo

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.