Live Play Data

Hellish Rebuke

· Instant · Forgotten Realms Commander (AFC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

238

Decks Running

121

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

44%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=23

78%

T6-9

13%

T10+

Median 8 P25 7 · P75 9 · max 13

On curve 0% (0 / 23 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 13%

The "good card" funnel

238 brought · 114 players

Brought to game

238

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -18.0pp

Players who cast this card win 23% of the time (n=23) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=149).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 35% (n=25).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap -0.5pp; 95% confidence interval -18.0pp to +17.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

62 instances

3.2%

Library

11.3%

Battlefield

45.2%

Graveyard

8.1%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Prosper, Tome-Bound 13 decks
2 Queen Marchesa 10 decks
3 Valgavoth, Harrower of Souls 10 decks
4 Tergrid, God of Fright // Tergrid's Lantern 9 decks
5 Lynde, Cheerful Tormentor 6 decks
6 Xantcha, Sleeper Agent 6 decks
7 Y'shtola, Night's Blessed 5 decks
8 Kefka, Court Mage // Kefka, Ruler of Ruin 4 decks
9 Baron Helmut Zemo 2 decks
10 Eriette of the Charmed Apple 2 decks

Card text

Hellish Rebuke

Instant

Until end of turn, permanents your opponents control gain "When this permanent deals damage to the player who cast Hellish Rebuke, sacrifice this permanent. You lose 2 life."

Forgotten Realms Commander (AFC) · Rare · Illustrated by Heonhwa

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 750,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.