Herald's Horn
6% of tracked Commander decks run Herald's Horn. When drawn, 73% of copies reach the battlefield, and 80% of those stay in play through end of game.
Herald's Horn sits in 502 of the 8378 distinct Commander decks tracked on Playgroup Live, an 6% inclusion rate that reflects its narrow but deep appeal: tribal decks that want it tend to run it every time.
The card's value proposition is tied directly to how early it lands. Median first cast falls on turn 5, meaning most players are already deploying tribal threats by the time the Horn arrives. Of drawn copies, 73% reach the battlefield before the game ends. Once it resolves, 80% of copies survive to end of game, a strong retention number for a three-mana artifact with no protection built in.
The commander distribution tells the real story: no single creature type dominates the Horn's home. Dragon decks (The Ur-Dragon), Angel decks (Giada, Font of Hope), Vampire decks (Edgar Markov), Rat decks (Marrow-Gnawer), Sliver decks (The First Sliver), and Human-tribal builds all show up across the top commanders list. Herald's Horn is a colorless tribal engine that fits wherever the creature-type density is high enough to make both abilities consistently relevant.
- 6% of tracked Commander decks include Herald's Horn
- 73% of drawn copies reach the battlefield before game end
- T5 median first-cast turn across tracked games
- 80% battlefield stickiness once the Horn resolves
- 404 distinct players have brought Herald's Horn to a tracked game
- 26% win rate in games where Herald's Horn was cast
First-cast turn
n=137The "good card" funnel
839 brought · 404 playersOf 839 Horns brought to tracked games, 188 were drawn, 137 of those were cast, and 80% of cast copies stayed on the battlefield through end of game.
Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=130) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=588).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 15% (n=52) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +2.4pp; 95% confidence interval -4.7pp to +9.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
Final zone distribution
206 instancesThe overwhelming majority of Herald's Horn copies never leave the library, a structural reality of 100-card singleton rather than a reflection of the card's power level in the decks that do run it.
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Captain America, Team Leader
37 decks
-
2
The Ur-Dragon
25 decks
-
3
Éowyn, Shieldmaiden
22 decks
-
4
Giada, Font of Hope
20 decks
-
5
Edgar Markov
14 decks
-
6
Ulalek, Fused Atrocity
14 decks
-
7
Marrow-Gnawer
13 decks
-
8
The First Sliver
13 decks
-
9
Sidar Jabari of Zhalfir
12 decks
-
10
Admiral Brass, Unsinkable
11 decks
The top-commander list spans Dragons, Angels, Vampires, Rats, Slivers, and Humans, confirming that Herald's Horn attaches to tribal identity rather than to any single creature type or color.