bolt
Game Changer
on the MTG Commander Game Changers list
·
Sorcery
·
Double Masters 2022 (2X2)
Card Preview
Imperial Seal
2%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
346
Decks Running
180
In Decks
1689
Decklist Inclusion
2%
Format
Final zone distribution
93 instances3.2%
Library
3.2%
Battlefield
57.0%
Graveyard
14.0%
Exile
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Esika, God of the Tree // The Prismatic Bridge
6 decks
-
2
The Ur-Dragon
6 decks
-
3
Yuriko, the Tiger's Shadow
6 decks
-
4
Kenrith, the Returned King
5 decks
-
5
Rograkh, Son of Rohgahh
5 decks
-
6
Sheoldred, the Apocalypse
5 decks
-
7
Kefka, Court Mage // Kefka, Ruler of Ruin
4 decks
-
8
Marrow-Gnawer
4 decks
-
9
Ob Nixilis, Captive Kingpin
4 decks
-
10
Oloro, Ageless Ascetic
4 decks
The "good card" funnel
346 brought · 140 playersBrought to game
346
Ever drawn
79
Reached battlefield
52
Still on board at game end
3
≥ -17.5pp
Players who cast this card win 22% of the time (n=49) , vs 28% when it never left the library (n=228).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 33% (n=23) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap -6.0pp; 95% confidence interval -17.5pp to +5.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=52
19%
T1
19%
T2
8%
T3
12%
T4
19%
T5
17%
T6-9
6%
T10+
Median
4.0
P25
2
· P75
5
· max
12
On curve
19%
(10 / 52 cast on T1)
Cast same turn as drawn
69%
52 of 100 times cast
52%
Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 630,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.