Live Play Data

Irregular Cohort

· Creature — Shapeshifter · Commander Legends: Battle for Baldur's Gate (CLB)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

236

Decks Running

118

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

69%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=37

16%

46%

T6-9

11%

T10+

Median 6 P25 4 · P75 8 · max 11

On curve 27% (3 / 37 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 29%

The "good card" funnel

240 brought · 118 players

Brought to game

240

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 43% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -16.6pp

Players who cast this card win 15% of the time (n=35) , vs 19% when it never left the library (n=159).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap -4.0pp; 95% confidence interval -16.6pp to +8.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

55 instances

3.6%

Library

29.1%

Battlefield

38.2%

Graveyard

3.6%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Irregular Cohort

Creature — Shapeshifter

Changeling (This card is every creature type.) When this creature enters, create a 2/2 colorless Shapeshifter creature token with changeling.

2 / 2

Commander Legends: Battle for Baldur's Gate (CLB) · Common · Illustrated by Steve Argyle

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.