Live Play Data

Keiga, the Tide Star

· Legendary Creature — Dragon Spirit · Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

522

Decks Running

238

Median Cast Turn

7.0

Drawn → Played

62%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=94

10%

65%

T6-9

22%

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 6 · P75 9 · max 13

On curve 36% (22 / 94 cast on T6) Cast same turn as drawn 43%

The "good card" funnel

522 brought · 220 players

Brought to game

522

Ever drawn

146

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 38% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -4.4pp

Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=85) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=317).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 16% (n=51).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +5.6pp; 95% confidence interval -4.4pp to +15.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

154 instances

2.6%

Library

22.7%

Battlefield

37.7%

Graveyard

5.8%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Keiga, the Tide Star

Legendary Creature — Dragon Spirit

Flying When Keiga dies, gain control of target creature.

5 / 5

Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC) · Rare · Illustrated by Ittoku

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.