Live Play Data

Kellogg, Dangerous Mind

· Legendary Creature — Human Mercenary · Fallout (PIP)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

735

Decks Running

330

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

69%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=121

21%

15%

32%

T6-9

11%

T10+

Median 5 P25 3 · P75 8 · max 14

On curve 27% (26 / 121 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 31%

The "good card" funnel

735 brought · 317 players

Brought to game

735

Ever drawn

168

Reached battlefield

116

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 45% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -5.1pp

Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=105) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=467).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=50).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +3.4pp; 95% confidence interval -5.1pp to +11.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

185 instances

1.1%

Library

28.1%

Battlefield

36.2%

Graveyard

11.4%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Kellogg, Dangerous Mind

Legendary Creature — Human Mercenary

First strike, haste Whenever Kellogg attacks, create a Treasure token. Sacrifice five Treasures: Gain control of target creature for as long as you control Kellogg. Activate only as a sorcery.

3 / 2

Fallout (PIP) · Rare · Illustrated by Josh Hass

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 770,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.