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Loran of the Third Path card art
Live Play Data

Loran of the Third Path

{2} {W} · Legendary Creature — Human Artificer · Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)
7%
Live Inclusion
Times Brought
2154
Decks Running
1015
Median Cast Turn
6.0
Drawn → Played
74%
Format

First-cast turn

n=410
1%
T1
5%
T2
10%
T3
11%
T4
14%
T5
47%
T6-9
13%
T10+
Median 6.0 P25 4 · P75 8 · max 19
On curve 15% (39 / 410 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 33%

The "good card" funnel

2154 brought · 817 players
Brought to game
2154
Ever drawn
557
Reached battlefield
410
Still on board at game end
213

Once cast, 52% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +0.1pp

Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=385) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=1345).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 28% (n=134).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +5.0pp; 95% confidence interval +0.1pp to +9.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

606 instances
3.0%
Library
35.1%
Battlefield
34.0%
Graveyard
8.4%
Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games
Card text
Loran of the Third Path card

Loran of the Third Path

{2} {W}
Legendary Creature — Human Artificer
Vigilance When Loran enters, destroy up to one target artifact or enchantment. {T}: You and target opponent each draw a card.
2 / 1
Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC) · Rare · Illustrated by Steven Belledin

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.