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Manaform Hellkite card art
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Manaform Hellkite

{2} {R} {R} · Creature — Dragon · Secrets of Strixhaven Commander (SOC)
1%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
159
Decks Running
101
In Decks
684
Decklist Inclusion
1%
Format
Card text
Manaform Hellkite card

Manaform Hellkite

{2} {R} {R}
Creature — Dragon
Flying Whenever you cast a noncreature spell, create an X/X red Dragon Illusion creature token with flying and haste, where X is the amount of mana spent to cast that spell. Exile that token at the beginning of the next end step.
4 / 4
Secrets of Strixhaven Commander (SOC) · Mythic · Illustrated by Andrew Mar

Final zone distribution

37 instances
2.7%
Library
24.3%
Battlefield
35.1%
Graveyard
8.1%
Exile

The "good card" funnel

159 brought · 92 players
Brought to game
159
Ever drawn
34
Reached battlefield
20
Still on board at game end
9

Once cast, 45% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -14.1pp

Players who cast this card win 38% of the time (n=18) , vs 28% when it never left the library (n=111).

Observed gap +9.9pp; 95% confidence interval -14.1pp to +33.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=20
0%
T1
0%
T2
5%
T3
10%
T4
15%
T5
55%
T6-9
15%
T10+
Median 7.0 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 13
On curve 15% (2 / 20 cast on T4)
20 of 100 times cast 20%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 650,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.