Live Play Data

Mirror Entity

· Creature — Shapeshifter · Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

1007

Decks Running

484

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

71%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=157

15%

56%

T6-9

10%

T10+

Median 7 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 13

On curve 10% (10 / 157 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 28%

The "good card" funnel

1010 brought · 447 players

Brought to game

1010

Ever drawn

221

Reached battlefield

157

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 54% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +2.6pp

Players who cast this card win 35% of the time (n=150) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=659).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 25% (n=59).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +10.3pp; 95% confidence interval +2.6pp to +17.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

243 instances

1.6%

Library

35.0%

Battlefield

34.2%

Graveyard

7.0%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Mirror Entity

Creature — Shapeshifter

Changeling (This card is every creature type.) {X}

: Until end of turn, creatures you control have base power and toughness X/X and gain all creature types.

1 / 1

Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC) · Rare · Illustrated by Zoltan Boros & Gabor Szikszai

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.