Live Play Data

Mirror Entity

· Creature — Shapeshifter · Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

1368

Decks Running

643

Median Cast Turn

7.0

Drawn → Played

70%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=216

13%

54%

T6-9

14%

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 18

On curve 11% (16 / 216 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 30%

The "good card" funnel

1371 brought · 590 players

Brought to game

1371

Ever drawn

310

Reached battlefield

216

Still on board at game end

116

Once cast, 54% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +3.5pp

Players who cast this card win 33% of the time (n=206) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=885).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 22% (n=84).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +10.0pp; 95% confidence interval +3.5pp to +16.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

342 instances

3.2%

Library

33.9%

Battlefield

33.3%

Graveyard

7.0%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Mirror Entity

Creature — Shapeshifter

Changeling (This card is every creature type.) {X}

: Until end of turn, creatures you control have base power and toughness X/X and gain all creature types.

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Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC) · Rare · Illustrated by Zoltan Boros & Gabor Szikszai

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.