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Part of Murders at Karlov Manor
·
Instant
·
Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)
Live Play Data
Mission Briefing
1%
Live Inclusion
Times Brought
285
Decks Running
147
Median Cast Turn
6
Drawn → Played
60%
Format
First-cast turn
n=45
2%
T1
0%
T2
0%
T3
18%
T4
22%
T5
47%
T6-9
11%
T10+
Median
6
P25
5
· P75
8
· max
14
On curve
2%
(0 / 45 cast on T2)
Cast same turn as drawn
34%
The "good card" funnel
285 brought · 138 playersBrought to game
285
Ever drawn
75
Reached battlefield
45
Still on board at game end
1
≥ +7.1pp
Players who cast this card win 41% of the time (n=42) , vs 19% when it never left the library (n=164).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 28% (n=23).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +21.7pp; 95% confidence interval +7.1pp to +36.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
Final zone distribution
89 instances6.7%
Library
1.1%
Battlefield
57.3%
Graveyard
11.2%
Exile
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Mirko, Obsessive Theorist
28 decks
-
2
Denzilore Fatehold
19 decks
-
3
Sauron, the Dark Lord
9 decks
-
4
Octavia, Living Thesis
8 decks
-
5
Marvo, Deep Operative
6 decks
-
6
Ghyrson Starn, Kelermorph
4 decks
-
7
Baral, Chief of Compliance
3 decks
-
8
Namor the Sub-Mariner
3 decks
-
9
Neerdiv, Devious Diver
3 decks
-
10
Saruman of Many Colors
3 decks
Card text
Mission Briefing
Instant
Surveil 2, then choose an instant or sorcery card in your graveyard. You may cast it this turn. If that spell would be put into your graveyard, exile it instead. (To surveil 2, look at the top two cards of your library, then put any number of them into your graveyard and the rest on top of your library in any order.)
Murders at Karlov Manor Commander (MKC)
·
Rare
·
Illustrated by Matt Stewart
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.