Live Play Data

Mortality Spear

· Instant · Secrets of Strixhaven Commander (SOC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

392

Decks Running

207

Median Cast Turn

7.0

Drawn → Played

74%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=62

18%

47%

T6-9

29%

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 6 · P75 10 · max 14

On curve 6% (4 / 62 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 30%

The "good card" funnel

392 brought · 202 players

Brought to game

392

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -14.8pp

Players who cast this card win 21% of the time (n=55) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=262).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 20% (n=16).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap -3.3pp; 95% confidence interval -14.8pp to +8.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

89 instances

1.1%

Library

2.2%

Battlefield

67.4%

Graveyard

6.7%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Mortality Spear

Instant

This spell costs {2}

less to cast if you gained life this turn. Destroy target nonland permanent.

Secrets of Strixhaven Commander (SOC) · Uncommon · Illustrated by PINDURSKI

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 680,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.