Live Play Data

Murmuring Mystic

· Creature — Human Wizard · Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

715

Decks Running

311

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

54%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=105

10%

14%

54%

T6-9

15%

T10+

Median 7 P25 5 · P75 9 · max 18

On curve 16% (10 / 105 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 30%

The "good card" funnel

715 brought · 285 players

Brought to game

715

Ever drawn

195

Reached battlefield

105

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 55% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +2.1pp

Players who cast this card win 33% of the time (n=97) , vs 21% when it never left the library (n=437).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 29% (n=85).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +11.7pp; 95% confidence interval +2.1pp to +21.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

217 instances

4.1%

Library

26.7%

Battlefield

32.3%

Graveyard

6.5%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Murmuring Mystic

Creature — Human Wizard

Whenever you cast an instant or sorcery spell, create a 1/1 blue Bird Illusion creature token with flying.

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Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC) · Common · Illustrated by Mark Winters

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.