Nesting Dragon
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Nesting Dragon
Final zone distribution
98 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Ureni of the Unwritten
42 decks
-
2
Atla Palani, Nest Tender
37 decks
-
3
Eshki, Temur's Roar
15 decks
-
4
Lord Windgrace
14 decks
-
5
Yuma, Proud Protector
10 decks
-
6
Lathliss, Dragon Queen
7 decks
-
7
The Ur-Dragon
5 decks
-
8
Koth, the Geomancer
4 decks
-
9
Miirym, Sentinel Wyrm
4 decks
-
10
Ganax, Astral Hunter
3 decks
The "good card" funnel
402 brought · 171 playersOnce cast, 64% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 36% of the time (n=56) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=217).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 21% (n=21).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +9.0pp; 95% confidence interval +2.3pp to +15.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.