Live Play Data

Nexus of Fate

· Instant · The List (PLST)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

589

Decks Running

253

Median Cast Turn

7.0

Drawn → Played

72%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=124

67%

T6-9

13%

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 6 · P75 8 · max 18

On curve 65% (28 / 124 cast on T7) Cast same turn as drawn 46%

The "good card" funnel

592 brought · 242 players

Brought to game

592

Ever drawn

172

Reached battlefield

124

Still on board at game end

≥ +22.5pp

Players who cast this card win 61% of the time (n=112) , vs 29% when it never left the library (n=355).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 31% (n=44).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +31.8pp; 95% confidence interval +22.5pp to +41.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

183 instances

42.6%

Library

11.5%

Battlefield

12.0%

Graveyard

5.5%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Nexus of Fate

Instant

Take an extra turn after this one. If Nexus of Fate would be put into a graveyard from anywhere, reveal Nexus of Fate and shuffle it into its owner's library instead.

The List (PLST) · Mythic · Illustrated by Mike Bierek

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 730,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.