Live Play Data

Nightkin Ambusher

· Creature — Mutant Warrior · Fallout (PIP)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

260

Decks Running

144

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

69%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=37

16%

19%

46%

T6-9

11%

T10+

Median 6 P25 5 · P75 7 · max 10

On curve 24% (6 / 37 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 26%

The "good card" funnel

260 brought · 141 players

Brought to game

260

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 62% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -4.8pp

Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=34) , vs 17% when it never left the library (n=151).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +9.2pp; 95% confidence interval -4.8pp to +23.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

78 instances

3.8%

Library

29.5%

Battlefield

50.0%

Graveyard

3.8%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Nightkin Ambusher

Creature — Mutant Warrior

Ward

(Whenever this creature becomes the target of a spell or ability an opponent controls, counter it unless that player pays {2}

.) When this creature enters, target player gets four rad counters. This creature can't be blocked as long as defending player has a rad counter.

4 / 4

Fallout (PIP) · Uncommon · Illustrated by Antonio José Manzanedo

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 730,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.