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Part of Commander Legends: Battle for Baldur's Gate
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Legendary Creature — Dragon Wizard
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Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC)
Card Preview
Niv-Mizzet, Parun
2%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
145
Decks Running
69
In Decks
835
Decklist Inclusion
2%
Format
Final zone distribution
50 instances12.0%
Library
26.0%
Battlefield
28.0%
Graveyard
4.0%
Exile
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Kefka, Court Mage // Kefka, Ruler of Ruin
7 decks
-
2
Ghyrson Starn, Kelermorph
5 decks
-
3
Stella Lee, Wild Card
5 decks
-
4
Zndrsplt, Eye of Wisdom
5 decks
-
5
The Ur-Dragon
4 decks
-
6
Vivi Ornitier
4 decks
-
7
Nekusar, the Mindrazer
3 decks
-
8
Arjun, the Shifting Flame
2 decks
-
9
Ashling, Rekindled // Ashling, Rimebound
2 decks
-
10
Bria, Riptide Rogue
2 decks
The "good card" funnel
146 brought · 75 playersBrought to game
146
Ever drawn
44
Reached battlefield
26
Still on board at game end
13
Once cast, 46% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
≥ +4.0pp
Players who cast this card win 45% of the time (n=26) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=89).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 21% (n=19) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap +22.2pp; 95% confidence interval +4.0pp to +40.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=26
0%
T1
0%
T2
4%
T3
0%
T4
12%
T5
69%
T6-9
15%
T10+
Median
8.0
P25
7
· P75
9
· max
18
On curve
15%
(0 / 26 cast on T6)
Cast same turn as drawn
36%
26 of 100 times cast
26%
Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting.