Niv-Mizzet, the Firemind card art
Live Play Data

Niv-Mizzet, the Firemind

{2} {U} {U} {R} {R} · Legendary Creature — Dragon Wizard · Commander 2020 (C20)
2%
Live Inclusion
Times Brought
287
Decks Running
129
Median Cast Turn
7
Drawn → Played
46%
Format

First-cast turn

n=43
2%
T1
0%
T2
2%
T3
5%
T4
12%
T5
65%
T6-9
14%
T10+
Median 7 P25 6 · P75 8 · max 16
On curve 37% (7 / 43 cast on T6) Cast same turn as drawn 23%

The "good card" funnel

287 brought · 131 players
Brought to game
287
Ever drawn
85
Reached battlefield
39
Still on board at game end
21

Once cast, 54% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -2.9pp

Players who cast this card win 38% of the time (n=36) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=170).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 34% (n=40).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +13.6pp; 95% confidence interval -2.9pp to +30.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

90 instances
6.7%
Library
23.3%
Battlefield
26.7%
Graveyard
3.3%
Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games
Card text
Niv-Mizzet, the Firemind card

Niv-Mizzet, the Firemind

{2} {U} {U} {R} {R}
Legendary Creature — Dragon Wizard
Flying Whenever you draw a card, Niv-Mizzet deals 1 damage to any target. {T}: Draw a card.
4 / 4
Commander 2020 (C20) · Rare · Illustrated by Todd Lockwood

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.