Niv-Mizzet, the Firemind
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Niv-Mizzet, the Firemind
Final zone distribution
59 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Ghyrson Starn, Kelermorph
11 decks
-
2
Nekusar, the Mindrazer
11 decks
-
3
Niv-Mizzet, Parun
11 decks
-
4
Vivi Ornitier
8 decks
-
5
Miirym, Sentinel Wyrm
6 decks
-
6
Inalla, Archmage Ritualist
5 decks
-
7
Niv-Mizzet, Visionary
5 decks
-
8
The Ur-Dragon
4 decks
-
9
Xyris, the Writhing Storm
4 decks
-
10
Garth One-Eye
3 decks
The "good card" funnel
225 brought · 104 playersOnce cast, 78% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 32% of the time (n=31) , vs 20% when it never left the library (n=129).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 15% (n=18).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +11.9pp; 95% confidence interval +2.7pp to +21.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.