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Game Changer
on the MTG Commander Game Changers list
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Part of Tales of Middle-earth
·
Creature — Human Rogue
·
Zendikar Rising Commander (ZNC)
Card Preview
Notion Thief
1%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
186
Decks Running
96
In Decks
930
Decklist Inclusion
1%
Format
Final zone distribution
49 instances22.4%
Battlefield
36.7%
Graveyard
16.3%
Exile
24.5%
Hand
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Sauron, Lord of the Rings
18 decks
-
2
Sauron, the Dark Lord
7 decks
-
3
Fire Lord Azula
4 decks
-
4
Anowon, the Ruin Thief
3 decks
-
5
Hashaton, Scarab's Fist
3 decks
-
6
Kefka, Court Mage // Kefka, Ruler of Ruin
3 decks
-
7
Oloro, Ageless Ascetic
3 decks
-
8
Phenax, God of Deception
3 decks
-
9
Zur the Enchanter
3 decks
-
10
Alela, Cunning Conqueror
2 decks
The "good card" funnel
186 brought · 88 playersBrought to game
186
Ever drawn
43
Reached battlefield
27
Still on board at game end
11
Once cast, 41% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
≥ -24.0pp
Players who cast this card win 13% of the time (n=26) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=131).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 16% (n=16) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.
Observed gap -10.8pp; 95% confidence interval -24.0pp to +2.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=27
0%
T1
0%
T2
11%
T3
4%
T4
19%
T5
48%
T6-9
19%
T10+
Median
6
P25
5
· P75
9
· max
17
On curve
15%
(1 / 27 cast on T4)
Cast same turn as drawn
38%
27 of 100 times cast
27%
Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting.