Notion Thief
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Notion Thief
Final zone distribution
237 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Sauron, Lord of the Rings
89 decks
-
2
Sauron, the Dark Lord
52 decks
-
3
Anowon, the Ruin Thief
23 decks
-
4
Kefka, Court Mage // Kefka, Ruler of Ruin
15 decks
-
5
Queza, Augur of Agonies
15 decks
-
6
Sen Triplets
13 decks
-
7
Nekusar, the Mindrazer
12 decks
-
8
Lord of the Nazgûl
11 decks
-
9
Fire Lord Azula
9 decks
-
10
Talion, the Kindly Lord
8 decks
The "good card" funnel
912 brought · 421 playersOnce cast, 59% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=88) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=509).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=74).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +3.4pp; 95% confidence interval -2.2pp to +9.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.