Live Play Data

Nuclear Fallout

· Sorcery · Fallout (PIP)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

606

Decks Running

291

Median Cast Turn

7.0

Drawn → Played

58%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=74

15%

59%

T6-9

15%

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 13

Cast same turn as drawn 24%

The "good card" funnel

606 brought · 269 players

Brought to game

606

Ever drawn

127

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ +5.9pp

Players who cast this card win 36% of the time (n=69) , vs 19% when it never left the library (n=366).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 23% (n=46).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +17.5pp; 95% confidence interval +5.9pp to +29.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

170 instances

4.1%

Library

5.3%

Battlefield

59.4%

Graveyard

5.9%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 The Wise Mothman 182 decks
2 Valgavoth, Harrower of Souls 17 decks
3 The Ghoul, Gunslinger 13 decks
4 The Master, Transcendent 13 decks
5 Massacre Girl, Known Killer 6 decks
6 Talion, the Kindly Lord 4 decks
7 Atraxa, Praetors' Voice 3 decks
8 Sheoldred // The True Scriptures 3 decks
9 Witherbloom, the Balancer 3 decks
10 Betor, Ancestor's Voice 2 decks

Card text

Nuclear Fallout

Sorcery

Each creature gets twice -X/-X until end of turn. Each player gets X rad counters.

Fallout (PIP) · Rare · Illustrated by Jason Rainville

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 730,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.