Live Play Data

Nuclear Fallout

· Sorcery · Fallout (PIP)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

443

Decks Running

209

Median Cast Turn

7.0

Drawn → Played

57%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=54

17%

56%

T6-9

15%

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 12

Cast same turn as drawn 25%

The "good card" funnel

443 brought · 194 players

Brought to game

443

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -1.5pp

Players who cast this card win 32% of the time (n=51) , vs 20% when it never left the library (n=267).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 24% (n=35).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +11.5pp; 95% confidence interval -1.5pp to +24.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

128 instances

4.7%

Library

6.3%

Battlefield

56.3%

Graveyard

7.0%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Nuclear Fallout

Sorcery

Each creature gets twice -X/-X until end of turn. Each player gets X rad counters.

Fallout (PIP) · Rare · Illustrated by Jason Rainville

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 700,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.