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Part of Outlaws of Thunder Junction
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Legendary Creature — Elemental Octopus
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Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC)
Live Play Data
Octavia, Living Thesis
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Legendary Creature — Elemental Octopus
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Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC)
0%
Live Inclusion
Times Brought
181
Decks Running
74
Median Cast Turn
6
Drawn → Played
43%
Format
First-cast turn
n=35
3%
T1
0%
T2
0%
T3
9%
T4
23%
T5
54%
T6-9
11%
T10+
Median
6
P25
5
· P75
8
· max
11
On curve
91%
(1 / 35 cast on T10)
Cast same turn as drawn
32%
The "good card" funnel
184 brought · 76 playersBrought to game
184
Ever drawn
51
Reached battlefield
22
Still on board at game end
12
Once cast, 55% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
≥ -1.2pp
Players who cast this card win 49% of the time (n=18) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=107).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 19% (n=24).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +23.4pp; 95% confidence interval -1.2pp to +48.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
Final zone distribution
58 instances5.2%
Library
20.7%
Battlefield
24.1%
Graveyard
12.1%
Exile
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Stella Lee, Wild Card
10 decks
-
2
Kalamax, the Stormsire
5 decks
-
3
Veyran, Voice of Duality
5 decks
-
4
Eluge, the Shoreless Sea
4 decks
-
5
Kenessos, Priest of Thassa
4 decks
-
6
Talrand, Sky Summoner
4 decks
-
7
Zaffai, Thunder Conductor
4 decks
-
8
Niv-Mizzet, Parun
3 decks
-
9
Bilbo, Thief in the Night
2 decks
-
10
Eris, Roar of the Storm
2 decks
Card text
Octavia, Living Thesis
Legendary Creature — Elemental Octopus
This spell costs less to cast if you have eight or more instant and/or sorcery cards in your graveyard.
Ward
Magecraft — Whenever you cast or copy an instant or sorcery spell, target creature has base power and toughness 8/8 until end of turn.
less to cast if you have eight or more instant and/or sorcery cards in your graveyard.
Ward
Magecraft — Whenever you cast or copy an instant or sorcery spell, target creature has base power and toughness 8/8 until end of turn.8 / 8
Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC)
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Rare
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Illustrated by Simon Dominic
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.