Old Gnawbone
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Old Gnawbone
Final zone distribution
134 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
The Ur-Dragon
79 decks
-
2
Miirym, Sentinel Wyrm
20 decks
-
3
Raph & Mikey, Troublemakers
15 decks
-
4
Ureni of the Unwritten
13 decks
-
5
Korvold, Fae-Cursed King
7 decks
-
6
Tiamat
7 decks
-
7
Chatterfang, Squirrel General
5 decks
-
8
Maular, the Next Evolution
4 decks
-
9
Atla Palani, Nest Tender
3 decks
-
10
Cecily, Haunted Mage
3 decks
The "good card" funnel
533 brought · 205 playersOnce cast, 77% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 34% of the time (n=65) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=309).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 27% (n=28).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +7.1pp; 95% confidence interval +1.1pp to +13.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.