Live Play Data

Olórin's Searing Light

· Instant · Tales of Middle-earth Commander (LTC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

339

Decks Running

194

Median Cast Turn

8.0

Drawn → Played

75%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=64

61%

T6-9

22%

T10+

Median 8.0 P25 6 · P75 9 · max 15

On curve 9% (6 / 64 cast on T4) Cast same turn as drawn 40%

The "good card" funnel

339 brought · 188 players

Brought to game

339

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -3.0pp

Players who cast this card win 36% of the time (n=62) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=221).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 24% (n=18).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +9.9pp; 95% confidence interval -3.0pp to +22.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

98 instances

3.1%

Library

7.1%

Battlefield

61.2%

Graveyard

10.2%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Gandalf, Party Guest 34 decks
2 Lorehold, the Historian 33 decks
3 Queen Marchesa 31 decks
4 Aragorn, the Uniter 16 decks
5 General Ferrous Rokiric 11 decks
6 Gandalf of the Secret Fire 5 decks
7 Plargg, Dean of Chaos // Augusta, Dean of Order 5 decks
8 Éowyn, Shieldmaiden 4 decks
9 Aziza, Mage Tower Captain 3 decks
10 Firesong and Sunspeaker 3 decks

Card text

Olórin's Searing Light

Instant

Each opponent exiles a creature with the greatest power among creatures that player controls. Spell mastery — If there are two or more instant and/or sorcery cards in your graveyard, Olórin's Searing Light deals damage to each opponent equal to the power of the creature they exiled.

Tales of Middle-earth Commander (LTC) · Rare · Illustrated by Matt Stewart

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 740,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.