Otawara, Soaring City
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Otawara, Soaring City
Final zone distribution
427 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Vivi Ornitier
25 decks
-
2
Y'shtola, Night's Blessed
25 decks
-
3
Yuriko, the Tiger's Shadow
19 decks
-
4
Kinnan, Bonder Prodigy
17 decks
-
5
Sauron, the Dark Lord
13 decks
-
6
Teval, the Balanced Scale
13 decks
-
7
Hope Estheim
12 decks
-
8
Marneus Calgar
12 decks
-
9
Sonic the Hedgehog
12 decks
-
10
Tony Stark // The Invincible Iron Man
12 decks
The "good card" funnel
1668 brought · 593 playersOnce cast, 84% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=233) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=935).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 35% (n=88).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +2.4pp; 95% confidence interval -1.1pp to +5.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.