Live Play Data

Outrageous Robbery

· Instant · Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

200

Decks Running

105

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

54%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=27

74%

T6-9

22%

T10+

Median 8 P25 7 · P75 9 · max 13

Cast same turn as drawn 36%

The "good card" funnel

200 brought · 102 players

Brought to game

200

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -14.5pp

Players who cast this card win 18% of the time (n=24) , vs 18% when it never left the library (n=132).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 11% (n=20).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +0.1pp; 95% confidence interval -14.5pp to +14.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

56 instances

1.8%

Library

8.9%

Battlefield

48.2%

Graveyard

12.5%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Outrageous Robbery

Instant

Target opponent exiles the top X cards of their library face down. You may look at and play those cards for as long as they remain exiled. If you cast a spell this way, you may spend mana as though it were mana of any type to cast it.

Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM) · Rare · Illustrated by Kai Carpenter

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 760,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.