Live Play Data

Painful Truths

· Sorcery · Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander (ECC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

360

Decks Running

223

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

57%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=45

18%

13%

44%

T6-9

20%

T10+

Median 7 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 14

On curve 4% (1 / 45 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 27%

The "good card" funnel

363 brought · 205 players

Brought to game

363

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -5.9pp

Players who cast this card win 23% of the time (n=44) , vs 17% when it never left the library (n=235).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 28% (n=32).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +5.9pp; 95% confidence interval -5.9pp to +17.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

89 instances

4.5%

Library

1.1%

Battlefield

58.4%

Graveyard

6.7%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Painful Truths

Sorcery

Converge — You draw X cards and lose X life, where X is the number of colors of mana spent to cast this spell.

Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander (ECC) · Rare · Illustrated by Winona Nelson

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 670,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.