Live Play Data

Pick Your Poison

· Sorcery · Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

336

Decks Running

166

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

67%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=53

11%

19%

53%

T6-9

T10+

Median 6 P25 5 · P75 7 · max 12

On curve 0% (0 / 53 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 36%

The "good card" funnel

339 brought · 160 players

Brought to game

339

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -12.3pp

Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=49) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=224).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 39% (n=24).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +0.6pp; 95% confidence interval -12.3pp to +13.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

90 instances

3.3%

Library

62.2%

Graveyard

8.9%

Exile

25.6%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Pick Your Poison

Sorcery

Choose one — • Each opponent sacrifices an artifact of their choice. • Each opponent sacrifices an enchantment of their choice. • Each opponent sacrifices a creature with flying of their choice.

Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM) · Common · Illustrated by Julia Metzger

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.