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Preordain

{U} · Sorcery · Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC)
4%
Decklist Inclusion
Buy on TCGplayer
Times Brought
559
Decks Running
334
In Decks
3316
Decklist Inclusion
4%
Format
Multiplayer 1v1

Final zone distribution

175 instances
4.6%
Library
1.1%
Battlefield
69.1%
Graveyard
12.0%
Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

The "good card" funnel

560 brought · 286 players
Brought to game
560
Ever drawn
154
Reached battlefield
115
Still on board at game end
2
≥ -2.8pp

Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=111) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=351).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 31% (n=39) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap +5.5pp; 95% confidence interval -2.8pp to +13.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=115
20%
T1
17%
T2
4%
T3
8%
T4
11%
T5
30%
T6-9
10%
T10+
Median 5 P25 2 · P75 7 · max 19
On curve 20% (23 / 115 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 63%
532 of 300 tracked games 99%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting.