collections_bookmark
Part of Outlaws of Thunder Junction
·
Sorcery
·
Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC)
Live Play Data
Preordain
8%
Live Inclusion
Times Brought
1148
Decks Running
640
Median Cast Turn
4.0
Drawn → Played
71%
Format
First-cast turn
n=220
20%
T1
14%
T2
8%
T3
10%
T4
11%
T5
29%
T6-9
8%
T10+
Median
4.0
P25
2
· P75
7
· max
23
On curve
20%
(43 / 220 cast on T1)
Cast same turn as drawn
56%
The "good card" funnel
1149 brought · 539 playersBrought to game
1149
Ever drawn
309
Reached battlefield
220
Still on board at game end
4
≥ +1.8pp
Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=204) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=699).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 33% (n=74).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +8.2pp; 95% confidence interval +1.8pp to +14.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
Final zone distribution
344 instances4.1%
Library
1.2%
Battlefield
64.5%
Graveyard
12.5%
Exile
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Vivi Ornitier
33 decks
-
2
Lord of the Nazgûl
19 decks
-
3
Yuriko, the Tiger's Shadow
19 decks
-
4
Ghyrson Starn, Kelermorph
16 decks
-
5
Prismari, the Inspiration
16 decks
-
6
Galadriel, Elven-Queen
15 decks
-
7
Shiko and Narset, Unified
14 decks
-
8
Kenessos, Priest of Thassa
11 decks
-
9
Fire Lord Azula
10 decks
-
10
Stella Lee, Wild Card
10 decks
Card text
Preordain
Sorcery
Scry 2, then draw a card. (To scry 2, look at the top two cards of your library, then put any number of them on the bottom and the rest on top in any order.)
Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC)
·
Common
·
Illustrated by Svetlin Velinov
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 670,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.