Live Play Data

Preordain

· Sorcery · Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

3693

Decks Running

1843

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

74%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=795

14%

11%

12%

34%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5 P25 3 · P75 7 · max 23

On curve 14% (108 / 795 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 57%

The "good card" funnel

3698 brought · 1440 players

Brought to game

3698

Ever drawn

1080

Reached battlefield

795

Still on board at game end

≥ +5.4pp

Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=732) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=2137).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 34% (n=249).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +8.9pp; 95% confidence interval +5.4pp to +12.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

1194 instances

4.5%

Library

2.5%

Battlefield

65.2%

Graveyard

11.5%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Preordain

Sorcery

Scry 2, then draw a card. (To scry 2, look at the top two cards of your library, then put any number of them on the bottom and the rest on top in any order.)

Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC) · Common · Illustrated by Svetlin Velinov

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 730,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.