Live Play Data

Preordain

· Sorcery · Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

2617

Decks Running

1360

Median Cast Turn

5.0

Drawn → Played

74%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=558

15%

11%

12%

32%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5.0 P25 2 · P75 7 · max 23

On curve 15% (82 / 558 cast on T1) Cast same turn as drawn 57%

The "good card" funnel

2619 brought · 1083 players

Brought to game

2619

Ever drawn

753

Reached battlefield

558

Still on board at game end

≥ +3.9pp

Players who cast this card win 30% of the time (n=518) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=1538).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 32% (n=167).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +8.0pp; 95% confidence interval +3.9pp to +12.1pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

826 instances

4.6%

Library

2.8%

Battlefield

66.6%

Graveyard

11.0%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Preordain

Sorcery

Scry 2, then draw a card. (To scry 2, look at the top two cards of your library, then put any number of them on the bottom and the rest on top in any order.)

Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander (TDC) · Common · Illustrated by Svetlin Velinov

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 700,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.