Live Play Data

Ral, Monsoon Mage // Ral, Leyline Prodigy

Legendary Creature — Human Wizard // Legendary Planeswalker — Ral · Modern Horizons 3 (MH3)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

283

Decks Running

114

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

75%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=75

12%

20%

15%

11%

33%

T6-9

T10+

Median 4 P25 2 · P75 7 · max 12

On curve 32% (15 / 75 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 55%

The "good card" funnel

283 brought · 128 players

Brought to game

283

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 73% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -6.7pp

Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=49) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=174).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 28% (n=16).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +7.0pp; 95% confidence interval -6.7pp to +20.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

82 instances

2.4%

Library

48.8%

Battlefield

26.8%

Graveyard

1.2%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Ral, Monsoon Mage

Legendary Creature — Human Wizard

Instant and sorcery spells you cast cost {1}

less to cast. Whenever you cast an instant or sorcery spell during your turn, flip a coin. If you lose the flip, Ral deals 1 damage to you. If you win the flip, you may exile Ral. If you do, return him to the battlefield transformed under his owner's control.

1 / 3

Ral, Leyline Prodigy

Legendary Planeswalker — Ral

Ral enters with an additional loyalty counter on him for each instant and sorcery spell you've cast this turn. +1: Until your next turn, instant and sorcery spells you cast cost {1}

less to cast. −2: Ral deals 2 damage divided as you choose among one or two targets. Draw a card if you control a blue permanent other than Ral. −8: Exile the top eight cards of your library. You may cast instant and sorcery spells from among them this turn without paying their mana costs.

Loyalty 2

Modern Horizons 3 (MH3) · Mythic · Illustrated by Dmitry Burmak

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.