Live Play Data

Ral Zarek, Guest Lecturer

· Legendary Planeswalker — Ral · Secrets of Strixhaven (SOS)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

249

Decks Running

110

Median Cast Turn

7.0

Drawn → Played

72%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=42

12%

52%

T6-9

19%

T10+

Median 7.0 P25 5 · P75 9 · max 13

On curve 10% (3 / 42 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 50%

The "good card" funnel

249 brought · 107 players

Brought to game

249

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 69% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +2.7pp

Players who cast this card win 39% of the time (n=38) , vs 19% when it never left the library (n=158).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 23% (n=15).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +19.5pp; 95% confidence interval +2.7pp to +36.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

71 instances

2.8%

Library

40.8%

Battlefield

33.8%

Graveyard

4.2%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Tam, the Possibility 7 decks
2 Squall, SeeD Mercenary 6 decks
3 Terra, Herald of Hope 6 decks
4 Mirko, Obsessive Theorist 5 decks
5 Tinybones, Bauble Burglar 5 decks
6 Tergrid, God of Fright // Tergrid's Lantern 4 decks
7 Baron Helmut Zemo 3 decks
8 Tinybones, Trinket Thief 3 decks
9 Winter, Misanthropic Guide 3 decks
10 Braids, Arisen Nightmare 2 decks

Card text

Ral Zarek, Guest Lecturer

Legendary Planeswalker — Ral

+1: Surveil 2. −1: Any number of target players each discard a card. −2: Return target creature card with mana value 3 or less from your graveyard to the battlefield. −7: Flip five coins. Target opponent skips their next X turns, where X is the number of coins that came up heads.

Loyalty 3

Secrets of Strixhaven (SOS) · Mythic · Illustrated by Billy Christian

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 740,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.