Live Play Data

Raphael, Tough Turtle

· Legendary Creature — Mutant Ninja Turtle · Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (TMT)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

124

Decks Running

Median Cast Turn

—

Drawn → Played

75%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=18

Not enough observed casts yet to show a reliable distribution.

The "good card" funnel

124 brought · 39 players

Brought to game

124

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -10.5pp

Players who cast this card win 32% of the time (n=18) , vs 21% when it never left the library (n=84).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +10.5pp; 95% confidence interval -10.5pp to +31.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

27 instances

40.7%

Battlefield

33.3%

Graveyard

7.4%

Exile

14.8%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Raphael, Tough Turtle

Legendary Creature — Mutant Ninja Turtle

Alliance — Whenever another creature you control enters, Raphael deals 1 damage to target opponent.

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Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (TMT) · Common · Illustrated by Nathaniel Himawan

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 670,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.