Live Play Data

Raucous Theater

Land — Swamp Mountain · Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

1730

Decks Running

762

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

83%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=431

41%

10%

19%

T6-9

T10+

Median 3 P25 1 · P75 5 · max 18

Cast same turn as drawn 66%

The "good card" funnel

1730 brought · 625 players

Brought to game

1730

Ever drawn

519

Reached battlefield

431

Still on board at game end

400

Once cast, 93% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +10.4pp

Players who cast this card win 40% of the time (n=397) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=999).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 40% (n=81).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +15.6pp; 95% confidence interval +10.4pp to +20.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

572 instances

1.4%

Library

69.9%

Battlefield

14.0%

Graveyard

3.8%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Smaug the Impenetrable 28 decks
2 Deadpool, Trading Card 26 decks
3 Valgavoth, Harrower of Souls 26 decks
4 Kuja, Genome Sorcerer // Trance Kuja, Fate Defied 24 decks
5 Terra, Herald of Hope 23 decks
6 Sauron, the Dark Lord 18 decks
7 Kefka, Court Mage // Kefka, Ruler of Ruin 17 decks
8 Shadow the Hedgehog 16 decks
9 Hearthhull, the Worldseed 13 decks
10 Magar of the Magic Strings 13 decks

Card text

Raucous Theater

Land — Swamp Mountain

(

: Add

.) This land enters tapped. When this land enters, surveil 1. (Look at the top card of your library. You may put it into your graveyard.)

Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM) · Rare · Illustrated by Sergey Glushakov

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 710,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.