Live Play Data

Raucous Theater

Land — Swamp Mountain · Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

1191

Decks Running

542

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

84%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=303

41%

11%

10%

17%

T6-9

T10+

Median 3 P25 1 · P75 5 · max 18

Cast same turn as drawn 65%

The "good card" funnel

1191 brought · 457 players

Brought to game

1191

Ever drawn

360

Reached battlefield

303

Still on board at game end

281

Once cast, 93% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +7.1pp

Players who cast this card win 38% of the time (n=281) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=695).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 43% (n=54).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +13.2pp; 95% confidence interval +7.1pp to +19.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

393 instances

1.3%

Library

71.5%

Battlefield

13.5%

Graveyard

4.1%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Smaug the Impenetrable 22 decks
2 Kuja, Genome Sorcerer // Trance Kuja, Fate Defied 19 decks
3 Deadpool, Trading Card 18 decks
4 Terra, Herald of Hope 18 decks
5 Valgavoth, Harrower of Souls 17 decks
6 Hearthhull, the Worldseed 12 decks
7 Kefka, Court Mage // Kefka, Ruler of Ruin 12 decks
8 Shadow the Hedgehog 12 decks
9 Prosper, Tome-Bound 10 decks
10 Sauron, the Dark Lord 10 decks

Card text

Raucous Theater

Land — Swamp Mountain

(

: Add

.) This land enters tapped. When this land enters, surveil 1. (Look at the top card of your library. You may put it into your graveyard.)

Murders at Karlov Manor (MKM) · Rare · Illustrated by Sergey Glushakov

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 680,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.