Reckless Fireweaver
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Reckless Fireweaver
Final zone distribution
157 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Mr. House, President and CEO
47 decks
-
2
Smaug the Impenetrable
38 decks
-
3
Smaug the Magnificent
25 decks
-
4
Ragost, Deft Gastronaut
21 decks
-
5
Saheeli, Radiant Creator
19 decks
-
6
Jaws, Relentless Predator
17 decks
-
7
Breya, Etherium Shaper
16 decks
-
8
Prosper, Tome-Bound
16 decks
-
9
Roxanne, Starfall Savant
14 decks
-
10
Smaug, Wicked Worm
11 decks
The "good card" funnel
828 brought · 393 playersOnce cast, 64% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=99) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=514).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 20% (n=23).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +1.6pp; 95% confidence interval -3.7pp to +6.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.